Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 150503
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Josephine, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean several
hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical
Storm Kyle, located offshore of the mid-Atlantic coast of the
United States.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Kyle are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Kyle are
issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Summary for Tropical Storm Josephine (AT1/AL112020)

...SATELLITE WIND DATA SHOW JOSEPHINE IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
 As of 11:00 PM AST Fri Aug 14
 the center of Josephine was located near 18.3, -57.4
 with movement WNW at 16 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 14

Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020  

000
WTNT31 KNHC 150236
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112020
1100 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020
 
...SATELLITE WIND DATA SHOW JOSEPHINE IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 57.4W
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine
was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 57.4 West. Josephine
is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week.  On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is
expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the
weekend.
 
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained 
winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in 
strength is expected through Saturday.  After that, Josephine is 
expected to weaken as it encounters unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.  Isolated minor flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 

Tropical Storm Josephine Forecast Advisory Number 14

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020  

000
WTNT21 KNHC 150236
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  56.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.2N  59.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.4N  61.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.7N  63.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.2N  65.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.7N  67.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 26.4N  67.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.5N  67.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 33.0N  64.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  57.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

Tropical Storm Josephine Forecast Discussion Number 14

Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020  

000
WTNT41 KNHC 150237
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Josephine Discussion Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112020
1100 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020

Josephine continues to produce bursts of deep convection near and 
to the northeast of its center, however, there is little evidence 
of any banding features.  A fortuitous ASCAT-A overpass has 
revealed peak winds of 35-40 kt over the northern semicircle of the 
storm, and the scatterometer ambiguities along with the earlier 
reconnaissance aircraft data suggest that the circulation is still 
closed.  Based on the scatterometer data, the initial wind speed 
has been set at 40 kt.  

The intensity forecast reasoning remains unchanged from the 
previous forecast. The moderate to strong southwesterly vertical 
wind shear that is affecting the cyclone is forecast to increase 
over the weekend and reach values of around 30 kt on Sunday. This is 
expected to result in gradual weakening by the latter portion of the 
weekend, and Josephine is predicted to weaken to a tropical 
depression in about 48 hours, and become a remnant low in 3-4 days. 
A plausible alternate scenario that is suggested by some of the 
global models is for the circulation to open up into a trough of 
low pressure, resulting in dissipation of the tropical cyclone 
within the next few days.  

The timely ASCAT data was very helpful in determining Josephine's 
center location.  Based on that and the earlier aircraft fixes, 
the cyclone continues to move west-northwestward or 300/14 kt.  A 
subtropical ridge to the north of Josephine should steer the cyclone 
west-northwestward during the next 24-48 hours.  After that time, 
Josephine should turn northwestward, and then northward as a 
weakness develops in the ridge over the western Atlantic. By late 
in the period, Josephine or its remnants are expected to turn 
north-northeastward as it becomes embedded within the mid-latitude 
westerlies.  The latest official forecast is near the middle of the 
tightly clustered dynamical track models, and is very similar to the 
previous NHC advisory. 
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Josephine should pass far enough to the northeast of the Leeward
Islands over the weekend to prevent major impacts.  However,
interests there should continue to monitor its progress until the
storm has passed north of that area.
 
2. Locally heavy rainfall is possible in the northern Leeward
Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico as Josephine passes by
to the northeast. Isolated minor flooding is possible in Puerto
Rico through Monday.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/0300Z 18.3N  57.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  15/1200Z 19.2N  59.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  16/0000Z 20.4N  61.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  16/1200Z 21.7N  63.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 48H  17/0000Z 23.2N  65.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 60H  17/1200Z 24.7N  67.2W   25 KT  30 MPH
 72H  18/0000Z 26.4N  67.7W   25 KT  30 MPH
 96H  19/0000Z 29.5N  67.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  20/0000Z 33.0N  64.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 

Tropical Storm Josephine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020


000
FONT11 KNHC 150236
PWSAT1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020               
0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    

Tropical Storm Josephine Graphics


Tropical Storm Josephine 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 02:38:27 GMT

Tropical Storm Josephine 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 03:24:39 GMT

Summary for Tropical Storm Kyle (AT2/AL122020)

...TROPICAL STORM KYLE MOVING AWAY FROM THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC COAST...
 As of 11:00 PM EDT Fri Aug 14
 the center of Kyle was located near 38.3, -70.0
 with movement ENE at 16 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tropical Storm Kyle Public Advisory Number 2

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020  

000
WTNT32 KNHC 150233
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Kyle Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122020
1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020
 
...TROPICAL STORM KYLE MOVING AWAY FROM THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC
COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.3N 70.0W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM ESE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kyle was
located near latitude 38.3 North, longitude 70.0 West. Kyle is
moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A slightly
faster east-northeastward or eastward motion is expected during the
next few days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible during 
the next day or so.  Kyle is forecast to become post-tropical by 
Sunday night.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 

Tropical Storm Kyle Forecast Advisory Number 2

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020  

000
WTNT22 KNHC 150232
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122020
0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  70.0W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  70.0W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  71.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.3N  66.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.7N  62.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 42.0N  58.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 43.1N  54.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 43.6N  48.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.5N  43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N  70.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

Tropical Storm Kyle Forecast Discussion Number 2

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020  

000
WTNT42 KNHC 150233
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Storm Kyle Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122020
1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020
 
There has not been much change with Kyle during the past several
hours.  The tropical storm continues to feel the influence of
strong westerly vertical wind shear, with the low-level center
exposed to the west of the main area of deep convection.  Despite 
the system's poor appearance, a ship recently reported winds around 
40 kt about 70 n mi southeast of the center.  Based on that data 
and the satellite intensity estimates, the initial intensity is 
nudged up to 40 kt.
 
The tropical storm is moving fairly quickly toward the
east-northeast away from the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast, with the
latest initial motion estimated to be 065/14 kt.  A slightly faster
east-northeastward to eastward motion is expected during the next
few days as the storm becomes more embedded in the mid-latitude
westerlies.  The track models are in relatively good agreement, and
this forecast lies close to the middle of the guidance envelope.
 
The ongoing westerly shear is only expected to get stronger with
time, therefore, significant intensification is not expected.
However, the global models suggest that a little strengthening is
likely during the next day or two while Kyle moves along the
northern wall of the Gulf Stream current and interacts with an
upper-level trough. Kyle is forecast to transition to an
extratropical cyclone in about 48 hours when it is expected to be
north of the Gulf Stream over cool waters and in a drier
environment.  The extratropical system should slowly decay until it
is absorbed by a larger extratropical low in a little more than 3
days.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/0300Z 38.3N  70.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  15/1200Z 39.3N  66.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  16/0000Z 40.7N  62.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  16/1200Z 42.0N  58.3W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  17/0000Z 43.1N  54.2W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  17/1200Z 43.6N  48.9W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  18/0000Z 43.5N  43.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 

Tropical Storm Kyle Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020


000
FONT12 KNHC 150233
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM KYLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122020               
0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
38.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               

Tropical Storm Kyle Graphics


Tropical Storm Kyle 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 02:35:11 GMT

Tropical Storm Kyle 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 03:31:44 GMT